Santa Fe 35%Draw 28%Corinthians 36%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.00
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCorinthians to win ✗36% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 15.00
Santa Fe vs Corinthians: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Fe welcome Corinthians to Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Thursday 7 May (01:30 WAT). In the table, Santa Fe are 3rd on 8 points after 6 matches; Corinthians are 1st with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Santa Fe, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Platense, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Corinthians, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mirassol, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Corinthians, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Santa Fe.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Apr 2026) it ended Corinthians 2–0 Santa Fe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 1.2 xG, Corinthians 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 35%, draw 28%, Corinthians 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 1–1 Corinthians. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Fe35%fair 2.83 · @2.92
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.00
Corinthians36%fair 2.75 · @2.54
2.17Expected goals
1.17Santa Fe xG
1.00Corinthians xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.2 – 1.0 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Corinthians 36%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Corinthians?
Santa Fe vs Corinthians (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Thursday 7 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Independ. Rivadavia1
Fluminense1
Deportes Tolima3
Club Nacional0
U. Catolica0
Cruzeiro0
Mirassol2
LDU de Quito0