Primavera MG vs Luverdense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Serie D brings Primavera MG against Luverdense. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.
Current form
Primavera MG, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Rio Branco ES, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Primavera MG 1.2 xG, Luverdense 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Primavera MG 35%, draw 29%, Luverdense 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Primavera MG 1–1 Luverdense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Primavera MG35%fair 2.82 · @2.50
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.62
Luverdense35%fair 2.82 · @2.75
2.34Expected goals
1.15Primavera MG xG
1.19Luverdense xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Primavera MG 1.2 – 1.2 Luverdense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luverdense to win✗
35%
2.82
2.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Luverdense (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Primavera MG +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Luverdense to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luverdense / FT Luverdense✗
21%
4.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.78
–
Recent results
Primavera MG – last 6
DLDDLL
29 Apr
vs Rio Branco ES
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Operario Ferroviario
1–4
L
8 Apr
vs Vila Nova
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Brasiliense
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Araguaína
0–2
L
25 Mar
@ Capital Brasilia
3–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Luverdense – last 2
LW
2 May
@ Gama
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Sinop
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Primavera MG and Luverdense.
What is the prediction for Primavera MG vs Luverdense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Primavera MG vs Luverdense?
On our numbers Primavera MG have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Luverdense 35%.
How many goals will there be in Primavera MG vs Luverdense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Primavera MG vs Luverdense?
Our predicted score is Primavera MG 1–1 Luverdense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Primavera MG vs Luverdense?
Primavera MG vs Luverdense (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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