Decisão travel to face Retrô on Sunday 17 May in the Serie D, with Arena Pernambuco the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT.
Current form
Retrô, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sergipe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Retrô 1.8 xG, Decisão 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Retrô 58%, draw 24%, Decisão 18%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Retrô 1–1 Decisão. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Retrô58%fair 1.72 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @4.00
Decisão18%fair 5.62 · @5.80
2.91Expected goals
1.83Retrô xG
1.07Decisão xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Retrô 1.8 – 1.1 Decisão expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Retrô to win✓
58%
1.72
1.40
Double chance
Retrô or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Retrô (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Decisão +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Retrô to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Retrô ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Retrô / FT Retrô✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Retrô – last 6
LWDLWL
4 May
vs Sergipe
1–3
L
30 Apr
vs America-RN
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Ferroviario
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Sport Recife
0–3
L
24 Mar
@ Imperatriz
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Uberlandia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Decisão – last 1
D
5 Apr
vs Lagarto
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Retrô and Decisão.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Retrô vs Decisão?
On our numbers Retrô have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Decisão 18%.
How many goals will there be in Retrô vs Decisão?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Retrô vs Decisão?
Our predicted score is Retrô 1–1 Decisão, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Retrô vs Decisão?
Retrô vs Decisão (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pernambuco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Arena Pernambuco
Central SC0
Maguary PE0
Atlético Alagoinhas0
Jacuipense1
America-RN5
Laguna0
Brasil DE Pelotas0
Sao Jose0
Cianorte1
Cascavel0
CRAC2
ABECAT Ouvidorense1
CSE1
CSA5
Tuna Luso2
Águia de Marabá1