Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sampaio Correa welcome Parnahyba for a Serie D fixture on Sunday 17 May (21:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sampaio Correa 1.5 xG, Parnahyba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sampaio Correa 55%, draw 26%, Parnahyba 20%.
Lower-risk option: Sampaio Correa or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampaio Correa 1–1 Parnahyba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sampaio Correa55%fair 1.83 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.88
Parnahyba20%fair 5.00 · @4.80
2.26Expected goals
1.47Sampaio Correa xG
0.79Parnahyba xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sampaio Correa 1.5 – 0.8 Parnahyba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Correa to win✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Double chance
Sampaio Correa or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Sampaio Correa (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Parnahyba +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Sampaio Correa to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampaio Correa / FT Sampaio Correa✓
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Sampaio Correa – last 1
L
6 May
@ Moto Club
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Parnahyba – last 2
DL
22 Feb
vs Teresina Esporte Club
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Fluminense PI
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampaio Correa and Parnahyba.
What is the prediction for Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba?
On our numbers Sampaio Correa have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Parnahyba 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba?
Our predicted score is Sampaio Correa 1–1 Parnahyba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba?
Sampaio Correa vs Parnahyba (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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