Manchester United 42%Draw 23%Atletico Madrid 35%Expected goals 1.81 – 1.64
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester United to win ✓42% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.70
Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manchester United welcome Atletico Madrid to Strawberry Arena for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 1 August (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Manchester United, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Rosenborg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Atletico Madrid, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Getafe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester United 1.8 xG, Atletico Madrid 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester United 42%, draw 23%, Atletico Madrid 35%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester United 1–1 Atletico Madrid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester United42%fair 2.38 · @2.08
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.55
Atletico Madrid35%fair 2.86 · @2.98
3.45Expected goals
1.81Manchester United xG
1.64Atletico Madrid xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Manchester United 1.8 – 1.6 Atletico Madrid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Manchester United
Atletico Madrid
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+8%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-0%
Our expected goals here
1.86
1.67
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✓
42%
2.38
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Draw no bet
Manchester United (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Madrid +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
First team to score
Manchester United to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Manchester United – last 6
WLWWWL
24 Jul
@ Rosenborg
5–0
W
18 Jul
vs Wrexham
0–1
L
24 May
@ Brighton
3–0
W
17 May
vs Nottingham Forest
3–2
W
27 Apr
vs Brentford
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Leeds
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atletico Madrid – last 6
WLWWLD
29 Jul
vs Getafe
4–1
W
24 May
@ Villarreal
1–5
L
17 May
vs Girona
1–0
W
12 May
@ Osasuna
2–1
W
5 May
@ Arsenal
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Arsenal
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester United and Atletico Madrid.
What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid?
On our numbers Manchester United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Madrid 35%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid?
Our predicted score is Manchester United 1–1 Atletico Madrid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid?
Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Strawberry Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lazio6
Avellino3
Levante2
Albacete1
Alcorcon2
Getafe II0
Lucko1
Segesta Sisak1
Eibar5
Arenas Getxo0
Bayer Leverkusen3
Rot-Weiß Essen0
Moreirense2
Amarante0
De Graafschap1
Excelsior5