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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chelsea v Juventus: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World · Kai Tak Sports Park

Chelsea

LWLWD
0–1
FT

Juventus

WWDDL
Chelsea 43%Draw 24%Juventus 34% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.45
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2

Value bet: Juventus to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultChelsea to win ✗43% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42

Chelsea vs Juventus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 5 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Chelsea against Juventus at Kai Tak Sports Park. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT.

Current form

Chelsea, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tottenham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Juventus, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Nice, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Juventus, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Chelsea.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea 1.6 xG, Juventus 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea 43%, draw 24%, Juventus 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.45.
  • Price worth noting: Juventus to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea 1–1 Juventus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chelsea43%fair 2.34 · @2.02
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.90
Juventus34%fair 2.96 · @3.20
3.04Expected goals
1.59Chelsea xG
1.45Juventus xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Chelsea 1.6 – 1.5 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ChelseaJuventus
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+31%-18%
Goals conceded vs average+3%-38%
Our expected goals here1.401.37

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea to win ✗43%2.342.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.45
Draw no betChelsea (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapJuventus +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.231.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
First team to scoreChelsea to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea / FT Chelsea ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.42–

Recent results

Chelsea – last 6

LWLWDL
1 Augvs Tottenham1–2L
28 Julvs Western Sydney Wanderers6–4W
24 May@ Sunderland1–2L
19 Mayvs Tottenham2–1W
9 May@ Liverpool1–1D
4 Mayvs Nottingham Forest1–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Juventus – last 6

WWDDLW
31 Julvs Nice2–0W
25 Jul@ Standard Liege1–0W
18 Jul@ FC Basel 18930–0D
24 May@ Torino2–2D
17 Mayvs Fiorentina0–2L
6 Aprvs Genoa2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chelsea and Juventus.

Chelsea vs Juventus head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Cadiz2 Granada CF0 135%2.80X27%2.90238%2.40 1.5–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.75 ✗
FT Villarreal1 Levante0 144%1.96X26%3.30230%3.85 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✗
FT AC Milan1 Inter1 134%2.88X23%3.80243%2.18 1.5–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.45 ✓
FT Lazio4 Ostia Mare0 183%1.02X11%23.0026%41.00 3.5–0.9xG 1XLazio or draw 94% ✓
FT Napoli2 Osasuna1 157%1.55X22%4.20220%5.25 1.9–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Gimnástica Segoviana0 Valladolid3 120%4.75X23%4.00257%1.53 0.9–1.6xG 2Valladolid to win 57%@1.53 ✓
FT Sassuolo1 Celta Vigo4 137%2.52X24%3.60240%2.52 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Cesena3 Vis Pesaro0 164%1.38X20%4.33216%6.50 2.2–1.0xG 1Cesena to win 64%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Juventus?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Chelsea vs Juventus?

On our numbers Chelsea have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Juventus 34%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Juventus?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Juventus?

Our predicted score is Chelsea 1–1 Juventus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Chelsea vs Juventus?

Chelsea vs Juventus (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Kai Tak Sports Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.