Napoli 57%Draw 22%Osasuna 20%Expected goals 1.86 – 1.21
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNapoli to win ✓57% · @1.55
Double chanceNapoli or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.30
Napoli vs Osasuna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Napoli welcome Osasuna for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Wednesday 5 August (17:30 WAT).
Current form
Napoli, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Carrarese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Osasuna, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Norwich, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Napoli, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Osasuna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napoli 1.9 xG, Osasuna 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli 57%, draw 22%, Osasuna 20%.
Lower-risk option: Napoli or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli 1–1 Osasuna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napoli57%fair 1.74 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.20
Osasuna20%fair 4.92 · @5.25
3.07Expected goals
1.86Napoli xG
1.21Osasuna xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.9 – 1.2 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Napoli
Osasuna
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+19%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.49
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✓
57%
1.74
1.55
Double chance
Napoli or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Napoli (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Osasuna +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
First team to score
Napoli to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✓
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Napoli – last 6
WLWWLW
26 Jul
vs Carrarese
2–0
W
22 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–3
L
24 May
vs Udinese
1–0
W
17 May
@ Pisa
3–0
W
11 May
vs Bologna
2–3
L
24 Apr
vs Cremonese
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Osasuna – last 6
WWWLLL
1 Aug
@ Norwich
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Ipswich
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs Racing Santander
2–0
W
17 May
vs Espanyol
1–2
L
12 May
vs Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
8 May
@ Levante
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Osasuna.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Napoli vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Napoli have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Osasuna 20%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Osasuna?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Osasuna?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–1 Osasuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Osasuna?
Napoli vs Osasuna (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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