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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Villarreal v Levante: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT

Levante

WWLWW
Villarreal 44%Draw 26%Levante 30% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.25
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Levante to win @ 3.85 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVillarreal to win ✓44% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Villarreal vs Levante: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Villarreal welcome Levante for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Wednesday 5 August (09:00 WAT).

Current form

Villarreal, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Lens, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Levante, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Albacete, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Levante, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Villarreal.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Feb 2026) it ended Levante 0–1 Villarreal.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal 1.5 xG, Levante 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal 44%, draw 26%, Levante 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Levante to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal 1–1 Levante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Villarreal44%fair 2.26 · @1.96
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.30
Levante30%fair 3.34 · @3.85
2.74Expected goals
1.49Villarreal xG
1.25Levante xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Villarreal 1.5 – 1.3 Levante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

VillarrealLevante
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-2%+2%
Goals conceded vs average-20%-15%
Our expected goals here1.441.32

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVillarreal to win ✓44%2.261.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.60
Draw no betVillarreal (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapLevante +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.461.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.15
First team to scoreVillarreal to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Villarreal / FT Villarreal ✗25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

Villarreal – last 6

LWLWLL
1 Aug@ Lens1–3L
25 Jul@ PSV Eindhoven3–1W
17 Jul@ Benfica0–2L
24 Mayvs Atletico Madrid5–1W
17 May@ Rayo Vallecano0–2L
13 Mayvs Sevilla2–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Levante – last 6

WWLWWW
1 Augvs Albacete2–1W
26 Julvs Al-Qadisiyah FC1–0W
17 Julvs Sheffield Utd1–2L
11 Julvs Leganes2–1W
17 Mayvs Mallorca2–0W
12 May@ Celta Vigo3–2W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Feb 2026Levante v Villarreal0–1
Villarreal vs Levante head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Levante?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Villarreal vs Levante?

On our numbers Villarreal have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Levante 30%.

How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Levante?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Levante?

Our predicted score is Villarreal 1–1 Levante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Villarreal vs Levante?

Villarreal vs Levante (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.