Lazio 83%Draw 11%Ostia Mare 6%Expected goals 3.51 – 0.94
94%
Betarazi pick
Lazio or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.07 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✓83% · @1.02
Double chanceLazio or draw ✓94% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓65% · fair 1.54
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.64
Lazio vs Ostia Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 5 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Lazio against Ostia Mare. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Lazio, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ascoli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Ostia Mare, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Benevento, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lazio 3.5 xG, Ostia Mare 0.9 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 86% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lazio 83%, draw 11%, Ostia Mare 6%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lazio or draw (94%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lazio 3–0 Ostia Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lazio83%fair 1.21 · @1.02
Draw11%fair 9.10 · @23.00
Ostia Mare6%fair 16.02 · @41.00
4.46Expected goals
3.51Lazio xG
0.94Ostia Mare xG
53%Both score
86%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–08%
3–18%
4–07%
2–07%
4–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lazio 3.5 – 0.9 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lazio
Ostia Mare
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+58%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+10%
Our expected goals here
2.82
0.69
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✓
83%
1.21
1.02
Double chance
Lazio or draw✓
94%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Lazio -2 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
First team to score
Lazio to score first✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time✓
66%
1.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✓
62%
1.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.64
–
Recent results
Lazio – last 6
WWWLLW
2 Aug
@ Ascoli
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Avellino
6–3
W
26 Jul
vs Flaminia
6–0
W
17 May
@ AS Roma
0–2
L
13 May
vs Inter
0–2
L
4 May
@ Cremonese
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ostia Mare – last 6
LWLWWW
26 Jul
vs Benevento
0–2
L
13 May
@ Grosseto
3–2
W
3 May
@ Real Giulianova
0–4
L
26 Apr
vs Termoli Calcio
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs L'Aquila
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Chieti
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Ostia Mare.
On our numbers Lazio have a 83% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Ostia Mare 6%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Ostia Mare?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Ostia Mare?
Our predicted score is Lazio 3–0 Ostia Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Lazio vs Ostia Mare?
Lazio vs Ostia Mare (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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