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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sassuolo v Celta Vigo: numbers & prediction

1–4
FT
Sassuolo 37%Draw 24%Celta Vigo 40% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.52
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCelta Vigo to win ✓40% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 5 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Sassuolo against Celta Vigo. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Sassuolo, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Folgore Caratese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Celta Vigo, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Academico Viseu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sassuolo 1.4 xG, Celta Vigo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sassuolo 37%, draw 24%, Celta Vigo 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sassuolo 1–1 Celta Vigo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sassuolo37%fair 2.73 · @2.52
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.60
Celta Vigo40%fair 2.51 · @2.52
2.91Expected goals
1.40Sassuolo xG
1.52Celta Vigo xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Sassuolo 1.4 – 1.5 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

SassuoloCelta Vigo
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+1%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+3%-12%
Our expected goals here1.541.76

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCelta Vigo to win ✓40%2.512.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.57
Draw no betCelta Vigo (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapSassuolo +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.501.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.211.15
First team to scoreCelta Vigo to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo ✓24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.46–

Recent results

Sassuolo – last 6

DWLLLW
31 Julvs Folgore Caratese0–0D
22 Julvs Padova4–1W
24 May@ Parma0–1L
17 Mayvs Lecce2–3L
8 May@ Torino1–2L
3 Mayvs AC Milan2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Celta Vigo – last 6

DWDDLW
29 Julvs Academico Viseu2–2D
25 Julvs Sporting Gijon1–0W
18 Jul@ SC Braga2–2D
17 May@ Athletic Club1–1D
12 Mayvs Levante2–3L
3 Mayvs Elche3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Celta Vigo.

Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo?

On our numbers Sassuolo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celta Vigo 40%.

How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo?

Our predicted score is Sassuolo 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo?

Sassuolo vs Celta Vigo (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.