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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bayern München v Aston Villa: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World · Kai Tak Sports Park

Bayern München

WLDLW
2–1
FT

Aston Villa

WLLWW
Bayern München 50%Draw 21%Aston Villa 28% Expected goals 2.08 – 1.69
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultBayern München to win ✓50% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.84

Bayern München vs Aston Villa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bayern München welcome Aston Villa to Kai Tak Sports Park for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Friday 7 August (13:00 WAT).

Current form

Bayern München, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jeju United FC, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Aston Villa, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over BG Pathum United, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bayern München 2.1 xG, Aston Villa 1.7 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bayern München 50%, draw 21%, Aston Villa 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayern München 2–1 Aston Villa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bayern München50%fair 1.99 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.95
Aston Villa28%fair 3.53 · @3.45
3.77Expected goals
2.08Bayern München xG
1.69Aston Villa xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–05%

From our goals model: Bayern München 2.1 – 1.7 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Bayern MünchenAston Villa
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+24%+29%
Goals conceded vs average-11%-5%
Our expected goals here2.031.87

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBayern München to win ✓50%1.991.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.40
Draw no betBayern München (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapAston Villa +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.161.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.941.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.431.30
First team to scoreBayern München to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultBayern München ahead at half-time ✓38%2.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bayern München / FT Bayern München ✓29%3.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.84–

Recent results

Bayern München – last 6

WLDLWW
4 Aug@ Jeju United FC2–1W
25 Jul@ SV Wehen1–2L
6 Mayvs Paris Saint Germain1–1D
28 Apr@ Paris Saint Germain4–5L
22 Apr@ Bayer Leverkusen2–0W
15 Aprvs Real Madrid4–3W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Aston Villa – last 6

WLLWWW
4 Aug@ BG Pathum United3–1W
28 Julvs Real Sociedad2–4L
25 Jul@ FC Porto1–2L
21 Jul@ Walsall5–0W
24 May@ Manchester City2–1W
20 May@ SC Freiburg3–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bayern München and Aston Villa.

Bayern München vs Aston Villa head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Cordoba0 Almeria4 134%2.30X25%3.20241%2.70 1.1–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 50%@1.75 ✓
FT Racing Santander4 Sporting Gijon1 145%2.10X22%3.65232%2.85 1.8–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.48 ✓
FT Melbourne City0 Palermo2 120%5.25X23%4.00257%1.50 1.2–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.48 ✓
FT Sudtirol1 Virtus Verona0 164%1.20X23%5.25213%11.00 1.6–0.7xG 1Sudtirol to win 64%@1.20 ✓
FT Leganes3 Mérida AD0 151%1.62X25%3.70224%4.33 1.4–1.1xG 1Leganes to win 51%@1.62 ✓
FT Fulham1 Crystal Palace2 142%2.40X24%3.45233%2.75 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT AD Ceuta FC2 Malaga1 128%3.25X22%3.60251%1.90 1.3–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.67 ✓
FT Hércules0 Castellón0 Pens 4–5 129%2.50X25%3.40246%2.40 1.1–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 54%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bayern München vs Aston Villa?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Bayern München vs Aston Villa?

On our numbers Bayern München have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa 28%.

How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs Aston Villa?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs Aston Villa?

Our predicted score is Bayern München 2–1 Aston Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Bayern München vs Aston Villa?

Bayern München vs Aston Villa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kai Tak Sports Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.