Wednesday 11 November 2026 10 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hércules v Castellón: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Hércules

LLLWL
0–0
FTPens 4–5

Castellón

LDWWL
Hércules 29%Draw 25%Castellón 46% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.73
54%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Castellón to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCastellón to win ✗46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Hércules vs Castellón: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hércules welcome Castellón for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Friday 7 August (18:30 WAT).

Current form

Hércules, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Villarreal II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Castellón, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Alaves, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hércules 1.1 xG, Castellón 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hércules 29%, draw 25%, Castellón 46%.
  • Price worth noting: Castellón to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hércules 1–2 Castellón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hércules29%fair 3.44 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.40
Castellón46%fair 2.17 · @2.40
2.82Expected goals
1.09Hércules xG
1.73Castellón xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%

From our goals model: Hércules 1.1 – 1.7 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

HérculesCastellón
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-22%-6%
Goals conceded vs average-16%+3%
Our expected goals here0.721.58

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCastellón to win ✗46%2.172.40 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.99–
Draw no betCastellón (draw no bet)61%1.63–
Asian handicapHércules +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
First team to scoreCastellón to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Castellón / FT Castellón ✗32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Hércules – last 6

LLLWLW
3 May@ Villarreal II0–1L
9 Aprvs Cacahuatique0–2L
5 Apr@ Alcorcon0–4L
29 Marvs Marbella2–0W
20 Mar@ Real Betis II1–2L
15 Marvs Real Murcia2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Castellón – last 6

LDWWLD
31 Jul@ Alaves0–3L
29 Jul@ Girona3–3D
25 Jul@ Valencia2–1W
18 Julvs Sabadell2–0W
9 Jun@ Almeria2–3L
6 Junvs Almeria1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hércules and Castellón.

Hércules vs Castellón head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Cordoba0 Almeria4 134%2.30X25%3.20241%2.70 1.1–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 50%@1.75 ✓
FT Racing Santander4 Sporting Gijon1 145%2.10X22%3.65232%2.85 1.8–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.48 ✓
FT Melbourne City0 Palermo2 120%5.25X23%4.00257%1.50 1.2–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.48 ✓
FT Bayern München2 Aston Villa1 150%1.90X21%3.95228%3.45 2.1–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.45 ✓
FT Sudtirol1 Virtus Verona0 164%1.20X23%5.25213%11.00 1.6–0.7xG 1Sudtirol to win 64%@1.20 ✓
FT Leganes3 Mérida AD0 151%1.62X25%3.70224%4.33 1.4–1.1xG 1Leganes to win 51%@1.62 ✓
FT Fulham1 Crystal Palace2 142%2.40X24%3.45233%2.75 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT AD Ceuta FC2 Malaga1 128%3.25X22%3.60251%1.90 1.3–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.67 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hércules vs Castellón?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Hércules vs Castellón?

On our numbers Hércules have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Castellón 46%.

How many goals will there be in Hércules vs Castellón?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hércules vs Castellón?

Our predicted score is Hércules 1–2 Castellón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Hércules vs Castellón?

Hércules vs Castellón (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.