AD Ceuta FC 28%Draw 22%Malaga 51%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.80
58%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultMalaga to win ✗51% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60
AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 7 August the Friendlies Clubs brings AD Ceuta FC against Malaga. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cadiz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Malaga, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Al-Arabi SC, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Ceuta FC 1.3 xG, Malaga 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Ceuta FC 28%, draw 22%, Malaga 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Malaga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Ceuta FC28%fair 3.62 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.60
Malaga51%fair 1.97 · @1.90
3.12Expected goals
1.32AD Ceuta FC xG
1.80Malaga xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.3 – 1.8 Malaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
AD Ceuta FC
Malaga
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+8%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.63
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malaga to win✗
51%
1.97
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Malaga (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
AD Ceuta FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Malaga to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malaga / FT Malaga✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
WLWWDD
29 Jul
@ Cadiz
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Sevilla
1–2
L
30 May
vs Albacete
1–0
W
24 May
@ FC Andorra
2–0
W
9 May
vs Castellón
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Real Sociedad II
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Malaga – last 6
WDDWDD
6 Aug
vs Al-Arabi SC
4–2
W
30 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Leicester
3–3
D
20 Jun
@ Almeria
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs Almeria
0–0
D
10 Jun
vs Las Palmas
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Malaga.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Malaga 51%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Malaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga?
AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cordoba0
Almeria4
Racing Santander4
Sporting Gijon1
Melbourne City0
Palermo2
Bayern München2
Aston Villa1
Sudtirol1
Virtus Verona0
Leganes3
Mérida AD0
Fulham1
Crystal Palace2
Hércules0
Castellón0