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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Melbourne City v Palermo: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Melbourne City

WLWWW
0–2
FT

Palermo

DDWLW
Melbourne City 20%Draw 23%Palermo 57% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.94
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultPalermo to win ✓57% · @1.50
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓80% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Melbourne City vs Palermo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 7 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Melbourne City against Palermo. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.

Current form

Melbourne City, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Weston Bears, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Palermo, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Iraklis 1908, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Melbourne City, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Palermo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Melbourne City 1.2 xG, Palermo 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Melbourne City 20%, draw 23%, Palermo 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melbourne City 1–1 Palermo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Melbourne City20%fair 5.09 · @5.25
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.00
Palermo57%fair 1.74 · @1.50
3.19Expected goals
1.25Melbourne City xG
1.94Palermo xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
2–16%

From our goals model: Melbourne City 1.2 – 1.9 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Melbourne CityPalermo
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-11%+10%
Goals conceded vs average+2%-18%
Our expected goals here1.381.74

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPalermo to win ✓57%1.741.50
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓80%1.241.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.65
Draw no betPalermo (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapMelbourne City +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scorePalermo to score first ✓58%1.71–
Half-time resultPalermo ahead at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Palermo / FT Palermo ✓33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Melbourne City – last 6

WLWWWW
26 Jul@ Weston Bears3–0W
26 Aprvs Adelaide United1–2L
18 Apr@ Brisbane Roar3–2W
12 Aprvs Wellington Phoenix2–0W
7 Aprvs Central Coast Mariners2–1W
4 Aprvs Western Sydney Wanderers3–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Palermo – last 6

DDWLWL
29 Julvs Iraklis 19081–1D
25 Julvs 1. FC Nürnberg2–2D
22 Julvs Paradiso7–0W
18 Jul@ FC Ingolstadt 040–1L
20 Mayvs Catanzaro2–0W
17 May@ Catanzaro0–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Melbourne City and Palermo.

Melbourne City vs Palermo head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Cordoba0 Almeria4 134%2.30X25%3.20241%2.70 1.1–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 50%@1.75 ✓
FT Racing Santander4 Sporting Gijon1 145%2.10X22%3.65232%2.85 1.8–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.48 ✓
FT Bayern München2 Aston Villa1 150%1.90X21%3.95228%3.45 2.1–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.45 ✓
FT Sudtirol1 Virtus Verona0 164%1.20X23%5.25213%11.00 1.6–0.7xG 1Sudtirol to win 64%@1.20 ✓
FT Leganes3 Mérida AD0 151%1.62X25%3.70224%4.33 1.4–1.1xG 1Leganes to win 51%@1.62 ✓
FT Fulham1 Crystal Palace2 142%2.40X24%3.45233%2.75 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT AD Ceuta FC2 Malaga1 128%3.25X22%3.60251%1.90 1.3–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.67 ✓
FT Hércules0 Castellón0 Pens 4–5 129%2.50X25%3.40246%2.40 1.1–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 54%@1.75 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melbourne City vs Palermo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Melbourne City vs Palermo?

On our numbers Melbourne City have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palermo 57%.

How many goals will there be in Melbourne City vs Palermo?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Melbourne City vs Palermo?

Our predicted score is Melbourne City 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Melbourne City vs Palermo?

Melbourne City vs Palermo (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.