SD Logroñés 36%Draw 25%Castellón II 39%Expected goals 1.57 – 1.88
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Castellón II to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCastellón II to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.35
SD Logroñés vs Castellón II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Castellón II travel to face SD Logroñés on Sunday 17 May in the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
SD Logroñés, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Castellón II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Castellón II, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to SD Logroñés, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours SD Logroñés, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Castellón II.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Castellón II 2–3 SD Logroñés.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SD Logroñés 1.6 xG, Castellón II 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SD Logroñés 36%, draw 25%, Castellón II 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Castellón II to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: SD Logroñés 1–1 Castellón II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SD Logroñés36%fair 2.74 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.40
Castellón II39%fair 2.58 · @2.75
3.45Expected goals
1.57SD Logroñés xG
1.88Castellón II xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: SD Logroñés 1.6 – 1.9 Castellón II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for SD Logroñés vs Castellón II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win SD Logroñés vs Castellón II?
On our numbers SD Logroñés have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Castellón II 39%.
How many goals will there be in SD Logroñés vs Castellón II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SD Logroñés vs Castellón II?
Our predicted score is SD Logroñés 1–1 Castellón II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is SD Logroñés vs Castellón II?
SD Logroñés vs Castellón II (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Segunda División RFEF Play Offs · Spain
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