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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Águilas v Utebo: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Play Offs · Spain

Águilas

WLWWW
2–1
FT

Utebo

LWLDL
Águilas 48%Draw 28%Utebo 24% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.08
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultÁguilas to win ✓48% · @1.62
Double chanceÁguilas or draw ✓76% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.45

Águilas vs Utebo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Águilas welcome Utebo for a Segunda División RFEF Play Offs fixture on Sunday 17 May (18:00 WAT).

Current form

Águilas, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Almería II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Utebo, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sestao River, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Águilas, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Utebo.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Águilas 1.4 xG, Utebo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Águilas 48%, draw 28%, Utebo 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águilas 1–1 Utebo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Águilas48%fair 2.07 · @1.62
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.40
Utebo24%fair 4.25 · @5.00
2.44Expected goals
1.37Águilas xG
1.08Utebo xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%

From our goals model: Águilas 1.4 – 1.1 Utebo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguilas to win ✓48%2.071.62
Double chanceÁguilas or draw ✓76%1.311.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.932.20 ▲
Draw no betÁguilas (draw no bet) ✓67%1.49–
Asian handicapUtebo +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.07
First team to scoreÁguilas to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águilas / FT Águilas ✓25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.45–

Recent results

Águilas – last 6

WLWWWL
3 Mayvs Almería II2–0W
26 Apr@ Estepona1–2L
12 Apr@ Melilla1–0W
5 Aprvs Xerez Deportivo3–0W
8 Marvs Puente Genil3–1W
1 Mar@ Real Jaén1–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Utebo – last 6

LWLDLD
3 May@ Sestao River0–1L
26 Aprvs Ebro1–0W
29 Marvs Real Unión2–3L
15 Marvs Real Zaragoza II1–1D
8 Mar@ Deportivo Alavés II1–2L
1 Marvs Ejea2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Utebo.

Águilas vs Utebo head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Play Offs predictions

FT Poblense2 Numancia1 130%2.25X38%3.00232%2.90 0.9–1.0xG X2Numancia or draw 70%@1.57 ✗
FT Deportiva Minera0 CD Coria1 157%1.73X25%3.35218%4.20 1.6–0.8xG 1Deportiva Minera to win 57%@1.73 ✗
FT Atlético Baleares1 Coruxo1 156%1.68X25%3.35219%4.33 1.7–1.0xG 1Atlético Baleares to win 56%@1.68 ✗
FT SS Reyes1 Alcoyano1 136%2.00X38%3.10227%3.40 1.1–1.0xG 1XSS Reyes or draw 73%@1.22 ✓
FT Deportivo Alavés II0 Real Jaén1 AET 0–2 143%2.55X25%3.00231%2.55 1.6–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 52%@1.50 ✓
FT SD Logroñés1 Castellón II0 136%2.20X25%3.40239%2.75 1.6–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Águilas vs Utebo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Águilas vs Utebo?

On our numbers Águilas have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Utebo 24%.

How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Utebo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Utebo?

Our predicted score is Águilas 1–1 Utebo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Águilas vs Utebo?

Águilas vs Utebo (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.