Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓38% · @3.10
Double chanceSS Reyes or draw ✓73% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗12% · fair 8.62
SS Reyes vs Alcoyano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: SS Reyes v Alcoyano in the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs.
Current form
SS Reyes, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tenerife II, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Alcoyano, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Porreres, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SS Reyes 1.1 xG, Alcoyano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SS Reyes 36%, draw 38%, Alcoyano 27%.
Lower-risk option: SS Reyes or draw (73%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SS Reyes or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: SS Reyes 1–1 Alcoyano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SS Reyes36%fair 2.80 · @2.00
Draw38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
Alcoyano27%fair 3.77 · @3.40
2.15Expected goals
1.12SS Reyes xG
1.03Alcoyano xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: SS Reyes 1.1 – 1.0 Alcoyano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
38%
2.65
3.10 ▲
Double chance
SS Reyes or draw✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
SS Reyes (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Alcoyano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
SS Reyes to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Reyes / FT SS Reyes✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
12%
8.62
–
Recent results
SS Reyes – last 6
WLWWDW
3 May
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Real Madrid III
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Intercity
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Las Palmas II
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ CD Coria
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Quintanar del Rey
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alcoyano – last 6
DWDWWW
3 May
@ Porreres
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Sant Andreu
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Andratx
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Atlètic Lleida
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Torrent
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Girona II
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Reyes and Alcoyano.
Our pick is SS Reyes or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SS Reyes vs Alcoyano?
On our numbers SS Reyes have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 38% and Alcoyano 27%.
How many goals will there be in SS Reyes vs Alcoyano?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Reyes vs Alcoyano?
Our predicted score is SS Reyes 1–1 Alcoyano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is SS Reyes vs Alcoyano?
SS Reyes vs Alcoyano (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.