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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Alavés II v Real Jaén: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Play Offs · Spain

Deportivo Alavés II

DWWLD
0–1
FTAET 0–2

Real Jaén

DWWDW
Deportivo Alavés II 43%Draw 25%Real Jaén 31% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.27
52%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Deportivo Alavés II to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Alavés II to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.10

Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs brings Deportivo Alavés II against Real Jaén. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Deportivo Alavés II, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gernika, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Real Jaén, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Antoniano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Real Jaén, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Deportivo Alavés II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Alavés II 1.6 xG, Real Jaén 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Alavés II 43%, draw 25%, Real Jaén 31%.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Alavés II to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Alavés II 1–1 Real Jaén. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Alavés II43%fair 2.31 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.00
Real Jaén31%fair 3.18 · @2.55
2.89Expected goals
1.63Deportivo Alavés II xG
1.27Real Jaén xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Alavés II 1.6 – 1.3 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Alavés II to win ✗43%2.312.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betDeportivo Alavés II (draw no bet) ✗58%1.73–
Asian handicapReal Jaén +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreDeportivo Alavés II to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Alavés II / FT Deportivo Alavés II ✗28%3.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%11.10–

Recent results

Deportivo Alavés II – last 6

DWWLDD
3 May@ Gernika0–0D
26 Apr@ Tudelano2–1W
12 Apr@ Real Zaragoza II2–1W
5 Aprvs Amorebieta1–2L
29 Mar@ UD Logroñés1–1D
22 Marvs Basconia0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Jaén – last 6

DWWDWW
3 Mayvs Antoniano1–1D
26 Apr@ Ucam Murcia2–1W
15 Marvs Yeclano1–0W
8 Mar@ Linares Deportivo1–1D
1 Marvs Águilas3–1W
25 Feb@ Xerez Deportivo3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Alavés II and Real Jaén.

Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Play Offs predictions

FT Poblense2 Numancia1 130%2.25X38%3.00232%2.90 0.9–1.0xG X2Numancia or draw 70%@1.57 ✗
FT Deportiva Minera0 CD Coria1 157%1.73X25%3.35218%4.20 1.6–0.8xG 1Deportiva Minera to win 57%@1.73 ✗
FT Atlético Baleares1 Coruxo1 156%1.68X25%3.35219%4.33 1.7–1.0xG 1Atlético Baleares to win 56%@1.68 ✗
FT SS Reyes1 Alcoyano1 136%2.00X38%3.10227%3.40 1.1–1.0xG 1XSS Reyes or draw 73%@1.22 ✓
FT SD Logroñés1 Castellón II0 136%2.20X25%3.40239%2.75 1.6–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✗
FT Águilas2 Utebo1 148%1.62X28%3.40224%5.00 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén?

On our numbers Deportivo Alavés II have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Jaén 31%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Alavés II 1–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén?

Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.