Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.84
Latvia vs Armenia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Latvia welcome Armenia for a UEFA Nations League fixture on Sunday 15 November (15:00 WAT). In the table, Latvia are 4th on 1 points after 4 matches; Armenia are 3rd with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Latvia, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cyprus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Armenia, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Montenegro, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Sep 2026) it ended Armenia 2–0 Latvia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Latvia 0.9 xG, Armenia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Latvia 28%, draw 24%, Armenia 48%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (83%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Latvia 0–1 Armenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Latvia28%fair 3.60
Draw24%fair 4.17
Armenia48%fair 2.07
2.14Expected goals
0.90Latvia xG
1.24Armenia xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Latvia 0.9 – 1.2 Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Latvia
Armenia
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-22%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-1%
Our expected goals here
0.95
1.20
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
On our numbers Latvia have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Armenia 48%.
How many goals will there be in Latvia vs Armenia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latvia vs Armenia?
Our predicted score is Latvia 0–1 Armenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Latvia vs Armenia?
Latvia vs Armenia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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