Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultGambia to win ✓73% · @1.10
Double chanceGambia or draw ✓92% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗29% · fair 3.43
Gambia vs Somalia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 25 September the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Gambia against Somalia at Independence Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gambia 0.5 xG, Somalia 0.0 xG – a total near 0.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 99% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gambia 73%, draw 19%, Somalia 8%.
GG/NG: NG (65%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (65%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gambia 0–0 Somalia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gambia73%fair 1.37 · @1.10
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @7.50
Somalia8%fair 13.07 · @26.00
0.50Expected goals
0.48Gambia xG
0.02Somalia xG
35%Both score
1%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–061%
1–029%
2–07%
0–11%
3–01%
1–11%
From our goals model: Gambia 0.5 – 0.0 Somalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gambia to win✓
73%
1.37
1.10
Double chance
Gambia or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.33
Draw no bet
Gambia (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Somalia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
No goal✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
80%
1.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
61%
1.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
29%
3.43
–
Recent results
Gambia – last 2
LL
29 May
@ Iran
1–3
L
31 Mar
@ Senegal
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Somalia – last 2
DD
31 Mar
@ Mauritius
0–0
D
27 Mar
vs Mauritius
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gambia and Somalia.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Gambia vs Somalia?
On our numbers Gambia have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Somalia 8%.
How many goals will there be in Gambia vs Somalia?
We expect about 0.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 1% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gambia vs Somalia?
Our predicted score is Gambia 0–0 Somalia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.5 goals in total.
When is Gambia vs Somalia?
Gambia vs Somalia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Independence Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mozambique1
Senegal1
Tanzania0
Guinea-Bissau2
Niger2
Lesotho1
Malawi2
South Sudan1
Nigeria2
Rwanda3
Liberia1
Sudan1
Ethiopia0
Togo1
Burundi0