Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultSudan to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceSudan or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.17
Sudan vs Ethiopia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sudan welcome Ethiopia to Juba Stadium for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Friday 25 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Sudan are 2nd on 8 points after 6 matches; Ethiopia are 4th with 4.
Current form
Ethiopia, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Malawi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sudan 1.4 xG, Ethiopia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sudan 59%, draw 25%, Ethiopia 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sudan or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sudan to win (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sudan 1–0 Ethiopia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sudan59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.00
Ethiopia16%fair 6.34 · @4.40
2.00Expected goals
1.43Sudan xG
0.57Ethiopia xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sudan 1.4 – 0.6 Ethiopia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sudan to win✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Sudan or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.62
Draw no bet
Sudan (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Ethiopia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Sudan to score first✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sudan / FT Sudan✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.17
–
Recent results
Sudan
No recent results on record.
Ethiopia – last 4
DWWW
9 Jun
vs Malawi
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Malawi
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Sao Tome and Principe
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Sao Tome and Principe
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sudan and Ethiopia.
Our pick is Sudan to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sudan vs Ethiopia?
On our numbers Sudan have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ethiopia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sudan vs Ethiopia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sudan vs Ethiopia?
Our predicted score is Sudan 1–0 Ethiopia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sudan vs Ethiopia?
Sudan vs Ethiopia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Juba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mozambique1
Senegal1
Tanzania0
Guinea-Bissau2
Lesotho1
Gambia2
Somalia1
Malawi2
South Sudan1
Nigeria2
Madagascar1
Rwanda3
Liberia1
Togo1
Burundi0