Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 57% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTogo to win ✓62% · @1.55
Double chanceTogo or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Togo vs Burundi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Togo welcome Burundi to Stade de Kegue for a Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixture on Friday 25 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Togo are 3rd on 5 points after 6 matches; Burundi are 4th with 4. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Togo, last 4: WDWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Benin, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Togo 2.6 xG, Burundi 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Togo 62%, draw 23%, Burundi 15%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Togo to win (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Togo 2–1 Burundi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Togo62%fair 1.60 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30
Burundi15%fair 6.68 · @6.00
4.00Expected goals
2.65Togo xG
1.35Burundi xG
57%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Togo 2.6 – 1.4 Burundi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Togo to win✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Double chance
Togo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Togo (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Togo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Togo to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Togo ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Togo / FT Togo✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Togo – last 4
WDWD
9 Jun
vs Benin
5–1
W
5 Jun
@ Central African Republic
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Niger
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Guinea
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Burundi – last 2
WW
31 Mar
vs Chad
4–0
W
27 Mar
@ Chad
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Togo and Burundi.
Our pick is Togo to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Togo vs Burundi?
On our numbers Togo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burundi 15%.
How many goals will there be in Togo vs Burundi?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Togo vs Burundi?
Our predicted score is Togo 2–1 Burundi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Togo vs Burundi?
Togo vs Burundi (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Kegue.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mozambique1
Senegal1
Tanzania0
Guinea-Bissau2
Niger2
Lesotho1
Gambia2
Somalia1
Malawi2
South Sudan1
Nigeria2
Madagascar1
Rwanda3
Sudan1
Ethiopia0