Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 4.08
Niger vs Lesotho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lesotho travel to face Niger on Friday 25 September in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, with Ohene Djan Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Niger are 3rd on 7 points after 6 matches; Lesotho are 3rd with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Niger, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mauritania, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Lesotho, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Kenya, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lesotho, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Niger.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Niger 1.1 xG, Lesotho 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Niger 57%, draw 25%, Lesotho 17%.
Lower-risk option: Niger or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Niger to win (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Niger 1–0 Lesotho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Niger57%fair 1.75 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
Lesotho17%fair 5.75 · @4.40
1.50Expected goals
1.10Niger xG
0.40Lesotho xG
45%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–025%
0–022%
2–013%
1–110%
0–19%
2–15%
From our goals model: Niger 1.1 – 0.4 Lesotho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Niger to win✓
57%
1.75
1.70
Double chance
Niger or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.75
Draw no bet
Niger (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Lesotho +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Niger to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Niger / FT Niger✓
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
4.08
–
Recent results
Niger – last 4
LDLD
8 Jun
vs Mauritania
0–1
L
5 Jun
@ Benin
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Togo
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Libya
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lesotho – last 4
LDWD
7 Jun
@ Kenya
0–4
L
4 Jun
vs Kenya
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Seychelles
2–1
W
26 Mar
@ Seychelles
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Niger and Lesotho.
Our pick is Niger to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Niger vs Lesotho?
On our numbers Niger have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lesotho 17%.
How many goals will there be in Niger vs Lesotho?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Niger vs Lesotho?
Our predicted score is Niger 1–0 Lesotho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Niger vs Lesotho?
Niger vs Lesotho (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ohene Djan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mozambique1
Senegal1
Tanzania0
Guinea-Bissau2
Gambia2
Somalia1
Malawi2
South Sudan1
Nigeria2
Madagascar1
Rwanda3
Liberia1
Sudan1
Ethiopia0
Togo1
Burundi0