Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultSutton Utd to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Sutton Utd against Southampton U21. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Sutton Utd, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Folkestone Invicta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Southampton U21, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Maidenhead, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sutton Utd 1.5 xG, Southampton U21 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sutton Utd 42%, draw 22%, Southampton U21 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sutton Utd 2–1 Southampton U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sutton Utd42%fair 2.39 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.00
Southampton U2136%fair 2.78 · @2.75
3.01Expected goals
1.52Sutton Utd xG
1.48Southampton U21 xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sutton Utd 1.5 – 1.5 Southampton U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sutton Utd
Southampton U21
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+6%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.43
1.53
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sutton Utd to win✓
42%
2.39
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Sutton Utd (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Southampton U21 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Sutton Utd to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sutton Utd / FT Sutton Utd✓
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Sutton Utd – last 6
WWDLWD
28 Jul
vs Folkestone Invicta
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Horsham
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs Walton & Hersham
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs AFC Wimbledon
1–2
L
14 Jul
@ Tonbridge Angels
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ AFC Totton
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Southampton U21 – last 6
WDWLWD
18 Jul
@ Maidenhead
3–1
W
24 Apr
vs Aston Villa U21
3–3
D
20 Mar
vs Leeds United U21
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Manchester United U21
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Nottingham Forest U21
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Everton U21
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sutton Utd and Southampton U21.
What is the prediction for Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
On our numbers Sutton Utd have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southampton U21 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
Our predicted score is Sutton Utd 2–1 Southampton U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21?
Sutton Utd vs Southampton U21 (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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