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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Glenavon FC v Ballymena United: numbers & prediction

1–1
FT
Glenavon FC 37%Draw 23%Ballymena United 40% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.61
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1

Value bet: Glenavon FC to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBallymena United to win ✗40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.53

Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Glenavon FC welcome Ballymena United for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 1 August (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Glenavon FC, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Crusaders FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Ballymena United, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Annagh United, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 6. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Momentum favours Ballymena United, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Glenavon FC.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Ballymena United 1–1 Glenavon FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Glenavon FC 0 wins, Ballymena United 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Glenavon FC 1.7 xG, Ballymena United 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Glenavon FC 37%, draw 23%, Ballymena United 40%.
  • Price worth noting: Glenavon FC to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Glenavon FC 2–1 Ballymena United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Glenavon FC37%fair 2.68 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.60
Ballymena United40%fair 2.52 · @2.00
3.33Expected goals
1.72Glenavon FC xG
1.61Ballymena United xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Glenavon FC 1.7 – 1.6 Ballymena United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Glenavon FCBallymena United
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-18%+23%
Goals conceded vs average+15%-24%
Our expected goals here1.741.40

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBallymena United to win ✗40%2.522.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.74–
Draw no betBallymena United (draw no bet)52%1.94–
Asian handicapBallymena United +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.74–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
First team to scoreGlenavon FC to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Glenavon FC / FT Glenavon FC ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.53–

Recent results

Glenavon FC – last 6

LLDLDW
21 Jul@ Crusaders FC0–2L
16 Julvs Doncaster0–5L
7 Apr@ Ballymena United1–1D
20 Marvs Larne0–3L
24 Feb@ Ballymena United2–2D
21 Feb@ Bangor3–1W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ballymena United – last 6

DWWDWW
1 Aug@ Annagh United2–2D
25 Jul@ Portstewart5–1W
24 Jul@ Carrick Rangers3–0W
18 Jul@ Queen's University1–1D
18 Jul@ Dundela3–2W
11 Jul@ Ballyclare Comrades2–0W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Apr 2026Ballymena United v Glenavon FC1–1
24 Feb 2026Ballymena United v Glenavon FC2–2
Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?

On our numbers Glenavon FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ballymena United 40%.

How many goals will there be in Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?

Our predicted score is Glenavon FC 2–1 Ballymena United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United?

Glenavon FC vs Ballymena United (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.