Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEmmen to win ✓42% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.53
Emmen vs Jong AZ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 21 August: Emmen v Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie, played at De Oude Meerdijk. In the table, Emmen are 6th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong AZ are 19th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Emmen, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 6–4 win over Jong Ajax, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Jong AZ, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over De Graafschap, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Jong AZ, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Emmen.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Jong AZ 2–3 Emmen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emmen 2.1 xG, Jong AZ 2.0 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emmen 42%, draw 20%, Jong AZ 38%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emmen 2–1 Jong AZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emmen42%fair 2.39 · @2.38
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.75
Jong AZ38%fair 2.62 · @2.60
4.05Expected goals
2.08Emmen xG
1.98Jong AZ xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
2–27%
1–17%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Emmen 2.1 – 2.0 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Emmen vs Jong AZ?
On our numbers Emmen have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong AZ 38%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs Jong AZ?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs Jong AZ?
Our predicted score is Emmen 2–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs Jong AZ?
Emmen vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
