Value bet: Waalwijk to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Waalwijk travel to face Helmond Sport on Friday 21 August in the Eerste Divisie, with GS Staalwerken Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Helmond Sport are 7th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Waalwijk are 12th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Helmond Sport, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Roda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Waalwijk, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dordrecht, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Helmond Sport 2–2 Waalwijk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Helmond Sport 1.1 xG, Waalwijk 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Helmond Sport 26%, draw 18%, Waalwijk 56%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Waalwijk to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Helmond Sport 1–1 Waalwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Helmond Sport26%fair 3.89 · @3.50
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @3.60
Waalwijk56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
2.84Expected goals
1.08Helmond Sport xG
1.77Waalwijk xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.1 – 1.8 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Waalwijk 56%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GS Staalwerken Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
