Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: FC Volendam to win @ 1.77 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Volendam to win ✗64% · @1.77
Double chanceFC Volendam or draw ✗84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54
MVV vs FC Volendam: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
MVV welcome FC Volendam to De Geusselt for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 21 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, MVV are 8th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; FC Volendam are 11th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MVV, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC Eindhoven, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
FC Volendam, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FC OSS, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MVV 1.2 xG, FC Volendam 2.4 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MVV 16%, draw 20%, FC Volendam 64%.
Lower-risk option: FC Volendam or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: FC Volendam to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Volendam or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: MVV 1–2 FC Volendam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MVV16%fair 6.25 · @4.00
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.90
FC Volendam64%fair 1.57 · @1.77
3.57Expected goals
1.16MVV xG
2.41FC Volendam xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: MVV 1.2 – 2.4 FC Volendam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Volendam to win✗
64%
1.57
1.77 ▲
Double chance
FC Volendam or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Draw no bet
FC Volendam (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
FC Volendam -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.22
First team to score
FC Volendam to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
FC Volendam ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Volendam / FT FC Volendam✗
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
MVV – last 6
WWDLLD
14 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Patro Eisden
1–1
D
28 Jul
@ KAA Gent II
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs SK Beveren
3–4
L
21 Jul
@ EVV
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Volendam – last 6
WLLWLL
15 Aug
vs FC OSS
3–0
W
10 Aug
@ Jong PSV U21
2–3
L
2 Aug
vs Ajax
1–3
L
24 Jul
@ Groningen
4–0
W
15 Jul
@ Almere City FC
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Jong AZ
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MVV and FC Volendam.
Our pick is FC Volendam or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win MVV vs FC Volendam?
On our numbers MVV have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Volendam 64%.
How many goals will there be in MVV vs FC Volendam?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MVV vs FC Volendam?
Our predicted score is MVV 1–2 FC Volendam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is MVV vs FC Volendam?
MVV vs FC Volendam (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
