Vitesse 42%Draw 21%Almere City FC 37%Expected goals 1.58 – 1.47
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Almere City FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVitesse to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Vitesse vs Almere City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almere City FC travel to face Vitesse on Friday 21 August in the Eerste Divisie, with GelreDome the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Vitesse are 15th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Almere City FC are 9th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vitesse, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Jong Utrecht, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Almere City FC, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Jong PSV U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Vitesse 1–3 Almere City FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitesse 1.6 xG, Almere City FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitesse 42%, draw 21%, Almere City FC 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: Almere City FC to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitesse 1–1 Almere City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitesse42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.70
Almere City FC37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
3.05Expected goals
1.58Vitesse xG
1.47Almere City FC xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.6 – 1.5 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almere City FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
Vitesse vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
