Jong Ajax 44%Draw 20%Helmond Sport 36%Expected goals 1.94 – 1.73
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultJong Ajax to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Helmond Sport travel to face Jong Ajax on Friday 28 August in the Eerste Divisie, with Sportcomplex De Toekomst the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Jong Ajax are 18th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Helmond Sport are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Ajax, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to NAC Breda, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Helmond Sport, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Waalwijk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Helmond Sport, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Jong Ajax.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Jong Ajax 5–1 Helmond Sport.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Ajax 1.9 xG, Helmond Sport 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Ajax 44%, draw 20%, Helmond Sport 36%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Ajax 2–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Ajax44%fair 2.26 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.80
Helmond Sport36%fair 2.78 · @2.90
3.67Expected goals
1.94Jong Ajax xG
1.73Helmond Sport xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.9 – 1.7 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Helmond Sport 36%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 2–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportcomplex De Toekomst.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
