Roda vs NAC Breda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the Eerste Divisie brings Roda against NAC Breda at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Roda are 14th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; NAC Breda are 13th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Roda, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dordrecht, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
NAC Breda, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Jong Ajax, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours NAC Breda, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Roda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roda 1.3 xG, NAC Breda 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roda 36%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 43%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roda 1–1 NAC Breda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roda36%fair 2.78 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
NAC Breda43%fair 2.33 · @2.25
2.76Expected goals
1.30Roda xG
1.46NAC Breda xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Roda 1.3 – 1.5 NAC Breda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAC Breda to win✗
43%
2.33
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Draw no bet
NAC Breda (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Roda +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
First team to score
NAC Breda to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
Roda – last 6
WWLLWL
21 Aug
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Helmond Sport
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Emmen
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Alemannia Aachen
2–4
L
17 Jul
vs Beerschot VA
1–0
W
10 Jul
@ Cambuur
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
NAC Breda – last 6
WLWLWW
22 Aug
vs Jong Ajax
3–2
W
14 Aug
vs VVV Venlo
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ FC OSS
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Bolton
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs OFI
3–2
W
25 Jul
@ Lokeren-Temse
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roda and NAC Breda.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Roda vs NAC Breda?
On our numbers Roda have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NAC Breda 43%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs NAC Breda?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs NAC Breda?
Our predicted score is Roda 1–1 NAC Breda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Roda vs NAC Breda?
Roda vs NAC Breda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
