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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Waalwijk v Jong PSV U21: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Mandemakers Stadion
2–2
FT
Waalwijk 62%Draw 21%Jong PSV U21 17% Expected goals 2.15 – 1.05
83%
Betarazi pick

Waalwijk or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Waalwijk to win @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWaalwijk to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceWaalwijk or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Friday 28 August: Waalwijk v Jong PSV U21 in the Eerste Divisie, played at Mandemakers Stadion. In the table, Waalwijk are 12th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong PSV U21 are 17th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Waalwijk, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Helmond Sport, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Jong PSV U21, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC OSS, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Waalwijk 4–1 Jong PSV U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waalwijk 2.2 xG, Jong PSV U21 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waalwijk 62%, draw 21%, Jong PSV U21 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Waalwijk or draw (83%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.42.
  • Price worth noting: Waalwijk to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Waalwijk or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waalwijk 2–1 Jong PSV U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waalwijk62%fair 1.62 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.10
Jong PSV U2117%fair 5.92 · @4.10
3.21Expected goals
2.15Waalwijk xG
1.05Jong PSV U21 xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Waalwijk 2.2 – 1.1 Jong PSV U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaalwijk to win ✗62%1.621.73 ▲
Double chanceWaalwijk or draw ✓83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.42
Draw no betWaalwijk (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapWaalwijk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.201.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.751.75
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
First team to scoreWaalwijk to score first64%1.55–
Half-time resultWaalwijk ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Waalwijk – last 6

DDDWLL
21 Aug@ Helmond Sport1–1D
14 Augvs Dordrecht2–2D
7 Aug@ Vitesse1–1D
2 Augvs Kifisia3–0W
29 Julvs Patro Eisden1–2L
25 Julvs Bochum II0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Jong PSV U21 – last 6

WDLWLL
24 Augvs FC OSS1–0W
19 Aug@ Sunderland U211–1D
14 Aug@ Almere City FC1–3L
10 Augvs FC Volendam3–2W
18 Julvs KRC Genk II2–4L
24 Apr@ Waalwijk1–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Waalwijk v Jong PSV U214–1
Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21?

Our pick is Waalwijk or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21?

On our numbers Waalwijk have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jong PSV U21 17%.

How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21?

Our predicted score is Waalwijk 2–1 Jong PSV U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21?

Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.