Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almere City FC welcome Jong Ajax to Yanmar Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 4 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Almere City FC are 9th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Ajax are 18th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almere City FC, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over De Graafschap, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Jong Ajax, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jong PSV U21, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Almere City FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Jong Ajax.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Jong Ajax 0–2 Almere City FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almere City FC 2.9 xG, Jong Ajax 1.2 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almere City FC 69%, draw 19%, Jong Ajax 11%.
Lower-risk option: Almere City FC or draw (89%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almere City FC 2–1 Jong Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almere City FC69%fair 1.45 · @1.45
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @5.00
Jong Ajax11%fair 8.79 · @5.60
4.08Expected goals
2.86Almere City FC xG
1.22Jong Ajax xG
66%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 2.9 – 1.2 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jong Ajax 11%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?
Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
