Heracles vs De Graafschap: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Heracles welcome De Graafschap to Asito Stadium for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 4 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Heracles are 16th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; De Graafschap are 1st (leading the league) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Heracles, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Eindhoven, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.
De Graafschap, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Almere City FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Heracles, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for De Graafschap.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heracles 3.0 xG, De Graafschap 1.4 xG – a total near 4.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heracles 69%, draw 18%, De Graafschap 13%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heracles 2–1 De Graafschap. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heracles69%fair 1.46 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @5.00
De Graafschap13%fair 7.62 · @6.00
4.38Expected goals
3.00Heracles xG
1.38De Graafschap xG
66%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
4–16%
2–06%
3–06%
2–25%
From our goals model: Heracles 3.0 – 1.4 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Double chance
Heracles or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.42
Draw no bet
Heracles (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Heracles -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.44
First team to score
Heracles to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.84
–
Recent results
Heracles – last 6
WWWWLW
30 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Jong Utrecht
6–1
W
14 Aug
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
7 Aug
@ VVV Venlo
4–3
W
24 Jul
vs Excelsior
3–5
L
8 Jul
vs Groningen
2–1
W
3.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
De Graafschap – last 6
LLLDLW
29 Aug
vs Almere City FC
1–4
L
23 Aug
@ VVV Venlo
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Jong AZ
2–5
L
9 Aug
@ Helmond Sport
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Excelsior
1–5
L
25 Jul
vs Kifisia
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for Heracles vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Heracles vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers Heracles have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and De Graafschap 13%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is Heracles 2–1 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs De Graafschap?
Heracles vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Asito Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
