Helmond Sport 36%Draw 21%VVV Venlo 43%Expected goals 1.55 – 1.71
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: VVV Venlo to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 4 September the Eerste Divisie brings Helmond Sport against VVV Venlo at GS Staalwerken Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Helmond Sport are 7th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; VVV Venlo are 2nd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Helmond Sport, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Jong Ajax, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
VVV Venlo, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Emmen, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours VVV Venlo, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Helmond Sport.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Helmond Sport 2–0 VVV Venlo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Helmond Sport 1.5 xG, VVV Venlo 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Helmond Sport 36%, draw 21%, VVV Venlo 43%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.48.
Price worth noting: VVV Venlo to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Helmond Sport 1–1 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Helmond Sport36%fair 2.80 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.45
VVV Venlo43%fair 2.33 · @2.55
3.26Expected goals
1.55Helmond Sport xG
1.71VVV Venlo xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.5 – 1.7 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and VVV Venlo 43%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GS Staalwerken Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
