Waalwijk vs NAC Breda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Waalwijk welcome NAC Breda to Mandemakers Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 4 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Waalwijk are 12th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; NAC Breda are 13th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Waalwijk, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Jong PSV U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
NAC Breda, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Roda, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours NAC Breda, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Waalwijk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waalwijk 1.6 xG, NAC Breda 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waalwijk 37%, draw 20%, NAC Breda 43%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waalwijk 1–1 NAC Breda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waalwijk37%fair 2.70 · @2.80
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.75
NAC Breda43%fair 2.33 · @2.25
3.28Expected goals
1.57Waalwijk xG
1.71NAC Breda xG
68%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Waalwijk 1.6 – 1.7 NAC Breda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAC Breda to win✗
43%
2.33
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Draw no bet
NAC Breda (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Waalwijk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
First team to score
NAC Breda to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Waalwijk – last 6
DDDDWL
28 Aug
vs Jong PSV U21
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Helmond Sport
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Dordrecht
2–2
D
7 Aug
@ Vitesse
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Kifisia
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Patro Eisden
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NAC Breda – last 6
DWLWLW
28 Aug
@ Roda
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Jong Ajax
3–2
W
14 Aug
vs VVV Venlo
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ FC OSS
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Bolton
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs OFI
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waalwijk and NAC Breda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
On our numbers Waalwijk have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and NAC Breda 43%.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
Our predicted score is Waalwijk 1–1 NAC Breda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
Waalwijk vs NAC Breda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
