Value bet: Emmen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEmmen to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.30
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.96
Emmen vs De Graafschap: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
De Graafschap travel to face Emmen on Friday 11 September in the Eerste Divisie, with De Oude Meerdijk the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Emmen are 6th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; De Graafschap are 1st (leading the league) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Emmen, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over FC Volendam, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
De Graafschap, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Heracles, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Emmen, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for De Graafschap.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Emmen 1–0 De Graafschap.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emmen 2.9 xG, De Graafschap 2.0 xG – a total near 4.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 87% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emmen 57%, draw 17%, De Graafschap 26%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Emmen to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emmen 2–1 De Graafschap. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emmen57%fair 1.75 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 6.06 · @3.90
De Graafschap26%fair 3.81 · @3.00
4.90Expected goals
2.90Emmen xG
2.00De Graafschap xG
72%Both score
87%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–16%
2–26%
3–16%
3–26%
4–14%
4–24%
From our goals model: Emmen 2.9 – 2.0 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Emmen vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers Emmen have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 17% and De Graafschap 26%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 87% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is Emmen 2–1 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs De Graafschap?
Emmen vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
