MVV 32%Draw 21%Almere City FC 47%Expected goals 1.29 – 1.61
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.87
MVV vs Almere City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 11 September: MVV v Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie, played at De Geusselt. In the table, MVV are 8th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Almere City FC are 9th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MVV, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Roda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Almere City FC, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Jong Ajax, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MVV 1.3 xG, Almere City FC 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MVV 32%, draw 21%, Almere City FC 47%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: MVV 1–1 Almere City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MVV32%fair 3.09 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Almere City FC47%fair 2.15 · @2.15
2.90Expected goals
1.29MVV xG
1.61Almere City FC xG
65%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: MVV 1.3 – 1.6 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✓
47%
2.15
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Draw no bet
Almere City FC (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
MVV +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Almere City FC to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
MVV – last 6
DWLWWW
6 Sep
vs Roda
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Jong AZ
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ KRC Genk II
0–6
L
21 Aug
vs FC Volendam
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Almere City FC – last 6
LWWWDL
4 Sep
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ De Graafschap
4–1
W
21 Aug
@ Vitesse
3–0
W
14 Aug
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Den Bosch
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Emmen
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MVV and Almere City FC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win MVV vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers MVV have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almere City FC 47%.
How many goals will there be in MVV vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MVV vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is MVV 1–1 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is MVV vs Almere City FC?
MVV vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
