Value bet: Heracles to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHeracles to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.84
Almere City FC vs Heracles: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Heracles travel to face Almere City FC on Friday 18 September in the Eerste Divisie, with Yanmar Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Almere City FC are 9th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Heracles are 16th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almere City FC, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over MVV, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Heracles, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Jong AZ, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 4.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Heracles, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Almere City FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almere City FC 1.7 xG, Heracles 2.7 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 81% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almere City FC 23%, draw 17%, Heracles 60%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Heracles to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almere City FC 1–2 Heracles. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almere City FC23%fair 4.29 · @3.20
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @3.75
Heracles60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
4.33Expected goals
1.66Almere City FC xG
2.67Heracles xG
69%Both score
81%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
2–15%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 1.7 – 2.7 Heracles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✗
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.44
1.33
Draw no bet
Heracles (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Almere City FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
First team to score
Heracles to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.84
–
Recent results
Almere City FC – last 6
WLWWWD
11 Sep
@ MVV
4–0
W
4 Sep
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ De Graafschap
4–1
W
21 Aug
@ Vitesse
3–0
W
14 Aug
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Den Bosch
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Heracles – last 6
WWWWWW
11 Sep
vs Jong AZ
3–2
W
4 Sep
vs De Graafschap
5–0
W
30 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Jong Utrecht
6–1
W
14 Aug
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
7 Aug
@ VVV Venlo
4–3
W
4.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almere City FC and Heracles.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Heracles?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Heracles?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Heracles 60%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Heracles?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Heracles?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 1–2 Heracles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Heracles?
Almere City FC vs Heracles (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
