Jong Ajax 26%Draw 16%Roda 57%Expected goals 1.30 – 2.06
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Roda to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRoda to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Jong Ajax vs Roda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 18 September: Jong Ajax v Roda in the Eerste Divisie, played at Sportpark De Toekomst. In the table, Jong Ajax are 18th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Roda are 14th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Ajax, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Jong Utrecht, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Roda, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Vitesse, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Roda, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Jong Ajax.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Ajax 1.3 xG, Roda 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Ajax 26%, draw 16%, Roda 57%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Roda to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Ajax 1–2 Roda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Ajax26%fair 3.81 · @3.30
Draw16%fair 6.11 · @3.60
Roda57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
3.36Expected goals
1.30Jong Ajax xG
2.06Roda xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.3 – 2.1 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Draw no bet
Roda (draw no bet)
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Jong Ajax +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Roda to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Roda ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Jong Ajax – last 6
LLWDWL
14 Sep
@ Jong Utrecht
1–6
L
11 Sep
vs Waalwijk
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Helmond Sport
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ NAC Breda
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Roda – last 6
WDDWWL
12 Sep
vs Vitesse
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ MVV
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs NAC Breda
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Helmond Sport
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Emmen
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and Roda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Roda?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Roda 57%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Roda?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Roda?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–2 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Roda?
Jong Ajax vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
