Den Bosch 63%Draw 24%Helmond Sport 13%Expected goals 2.65 – 1.27
87%
Betarazi pick
Den Bosch or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Den Bosch to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDen Bosch to win ✓63% · @1.70
Double chanceDen Bosch or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.30
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 18 September the Eerste Divisie brings Den Bosch against Helmond Sport at Stadion de Vliert. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Den Bosch are 3rd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Helmond Sport are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Den Bosch, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Volendam, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Helmond Sport, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Jong PSV U21, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Helmond Sport, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Den Bosch.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Den Bosch 2.6 xG, Helmond Sport 1.3 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Den Bosch 63%, draw 24%, Helmond Sport 13%.
Lower-risk option: Den Bosch or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Den Bosch to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Den Bosch or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Den Bosch 2–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Den Bosch63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @4.00
Helmond Sport13%fair 7.64 · @4.00
3.92Expected goals
2.65Den Bosch xG
1.27Helmond Sport xG
66%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Den Bosch 2.6 – 1.3 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Den Bosch to win✓
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Den Bosch or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Draw no bet
Den Bosch (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Den Bosch -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
First team to score
Den Bosch to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Den Bosch ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Den Bosch / FT Den Bosch✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Den Bosch – last 6
LLLWLD
13 Sep
@ FC Volendam
0–2
L
7 Sep
@ Jong PSV U21
1–3
L
28 Aug
vs Vitesse
1–4
L
21 Aug
vs FC Eindhoven
5–2
W
14 Aug
@ Heracles
2–3
L
8 Aug
vs Almere City FC
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Helmond Sport – last 6
WWLDLD
11 Sep
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
4 Sep
vs VVV Venlo
4–2
W
28 Aug
@ Jong Ajax
2–3
L
21 Aug
vs Waalwijk
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Roda
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs De Graafschap
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Den Bosch and Helmond Sport.
What is the prediction for Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport?
Our pick is Den Bosch or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Den Bosch have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Helmond Sport 13%.
How many goals will there be in Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Den Bosch 2–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport?
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion de Vliert.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
