Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultWaalwijk to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceWaalwijk or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Waalwijk vs MVV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Waalwijk welcome MVV to Mandemakers Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 18 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Waalwijk are 12th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; MVV are 8th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Waalwijk, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jong Ajax, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
MVV, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Almere City FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended MVV 1–3 Waalwijk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Waalwijk 2.1 xG, MVV 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Waalwijk 62%, draw 19%, MVV 19%.
Lower-risk option: Waalwijk or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Waalwijk to win (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waalwijk 2–1 MVV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Waalwijk62%fair 1.62 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.90
MVV19%fair 5.26 · @4.50
3.17Expected goals
2.10Waalwijk xG
1.07MVV xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Waalwijk 2.1 – 1.1 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Waalwijk to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Waalwijk vs MVV?
On our numbers Waalwijk have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and MVV 19%.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs MVV?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Waalwijk 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Waalwijk vs MVV?
Waalwijk vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
