Heracles vs Vitesse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Heracles welcome Vitesse to Polman Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:30 WAT). In the table, Heracles are 16th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Vitesse are 15th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Heracles, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Almere City FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Vitesse, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Jong PSV U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Heracles, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Vitesse.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heracles 2.5 xG, Vitesse 1.2 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heracles 64%, draw 21%, Vitesse 15%.
Lower-risk option: Heracles or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heracles 2–1 Vitesse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heracles64%fair 1.57 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.50
Vitesse15%fair 6.83 · @5.25
3.73Expected goals
2.52Heracles xG
1.21Vitesse xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Heracles 2.5 – 1.2 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Double chance
Heracles or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Draw no bet
Heracles (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Heracles -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
First team to score
Heracles to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Heracles – last 6
LWWWWW
18 Sep
@ Almere City FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Jong AZ
3–2
W
4 Sep
vs De Graafschap
5–0
W
30 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Jong Utrecht
6–1
W
14 Aug
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vitesse – last 6
WLWWLW
19 Sep
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Roda
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs FC OSS
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Den Bosch
4–1
W
21 Aug
vs Almere City FC
0–3
L
17 Aug
@ Jong Utrecht
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and Vitesse.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Heracles vs Vitesse?
On our numbers Heracles have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vitesse 15%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs Vitesse?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs Vitesse?
Our predicted score is Heracles 2–1 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs Vitesse?
Heracles vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Polman Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
