Value bet: FC Volendam to win @ 1.73 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Volendam to win ✓66% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Volendam welcome VVV Venlo to Kras Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Saturday 26 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, FC Volendam are 11th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; VVV Venlo are 2nd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Volendam, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Jong AZ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
VVV Venlo, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Jong Utrecht, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours VVV Venlo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for FC Volendam.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Volendam 2.7 xG, VVV Venlo 1.4 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Volendam 66%, draw 13%, VVV Venlo 21%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: FC Volendam to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Volendam 2–1 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Volendam66%fair 1.52 · @1.73
Draw13%fair 7.80 · @4.75
VVV Venlo21%fair 4.70 · @3.75
4.10Expected goals
2.66FC Volendam xG
1.44VVV Venlo xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
1–16%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: FC Volendam 2.7 – 1.4 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Volendam to win✓
66%
1.52
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.44
1.33
Draw no bet
FC Volendam (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
FC Volendam -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
First team to score
FC Volendam to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
FC Volendam ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Volendam / FT FC Volendam✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.84
–
Recent results
FC Volendam – last 6
LWLWLW
18 Sep
@ Jong AZ
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Den Bosch
2–0
W
4 Sep
@ Emmen
3–5
L
28 Aug
vs Dordrecht
6–1
W
21 Aug
@ MVV
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs FC OSS
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
VVV Venlo – last 6
WWLWWW
18 Sep
@ Jong Utrecht
3–1
W
11 Sep
vs FC OSS
3–1
W
4 Sep
@ Helmond Sport
2–4
L
30 Aug
vs Emmen
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs De Graafschap
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ NAC Breda
2–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Volendam and VVV Venlo.
What is the prediction for FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers FC Volendam have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 13% and VVV Venlo 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is FC Volendam 2–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Kras Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
