Roda 38%Draw 21%Waalwijk 41%Expected goals 1.40 – 1.46
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Waalwijk to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Roda vs Waalwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Eerste Divisie brings Roda against Waalwijk at Parkstad Limburg. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Roda are 14th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Waalwijk are 12th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Roda, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Jong Ajax, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Waalwijk, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 6–1 win over MVV, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended Roda 1–1 Waalwijk. The last 2 head-to-heads: Roda 1 win, Waalwijk 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roda 1.4 xG, Waalwijk 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roda 38%, draw 21%, Waalwijk 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Waalwijk to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roda 1–1 Waalwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roda38%fair 2.62 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Waalwijk41%fair 2.45 · @2.62
2.86Expected goals
1.40Roda xG
1.46Waalwijk xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Roda 1.4 – 1.5 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Roda vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Roda have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waalwijk 41%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Roda 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Waalwijk?
Roda vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
