Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultHeracles to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceHeracles or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Heracles vs Waalwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Heracles welcome Waalwijk to Polman Stadion for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 9 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Heracles are 16th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Waalwijk are 12th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Heracles, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Helmond Sport, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Waalwijk, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Emmen, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Heracles 2.7 xG, Waalwijk 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Heracles 68%, draw 18%, Waalwijk 14%.
Lower-risk option: Heracles or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Heracles to win (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heracles 2–1 Waalwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Heracles68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.33
Waalwijk14%fair 7.25 · @5.00
3.94Expected goals
2.72Heracles xG
1.22Waalwijk xG
66%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–06%
1–16%
4–15%
From our goals model: Heracles 2.7 – 1.2 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✓
68%
1.47
1.53
Double chance
Heracles or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Draw no bet
Heracles (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Heracles -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
First team to score
Heracles to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Heracles – last 6
DWLWWW
2 Oct
@ Helmond Sport
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Vitesse
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Almere City FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Jong AZ
3–2
W
4 Sep
vs De Graafschap
5–0
W
30 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
DLWWWD
3 Oct
vs Emmen
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Roda
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs MVV
6–1
W
11 Sep
@ Jong Ajax
2–0
W
4 Sep
vs NAC Breda
4–2
W
28 Aug
vs Jong PSV U21
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and Waalwijk.
Our pick is Heracles to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Heracles vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Heracles have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Waalwijk 14%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Heracles 2–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs Waalwijk?
Heracles vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Polman Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
