On Friday 9 October the Eerste Divisie brings NAC Breda against MVV at Rat Verlegh Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, NAC Breda are 13th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; MVV are 8th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NAC Breda, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vitesse, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
MVV, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to FC OSS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NAC Breda 2.7 xG, MVV 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NAC Breda 69%, draw 19%, MVV 12%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was NAC Breda to win (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: NAC Breda 2–1 MVV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NAC Breda69%fair 1.46 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @5.00
MVV12%fair 8.35 · @7.00
3.89Expected goals
2.73NAC Breda xG
1.16MVV xG
66%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: NAC Breda 2.7 – 1.2 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NAC Breda to win✓
69%
1.46
1.35
Double chance
NAC Breda or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.57
Draw no bet
NAC Breda (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
NAC Breda -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
First team to score
NAC Breda to score first✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
NAC Breda ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda✓
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
NAC Breda – last 6
DWWLLD
3 Oct
@ Vitesse
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs FC Eindhoven
4–2
W
20 Sep
@ De Graafschap
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Jong Utrecht
2–3
L
4 Sep
@ Waalwijk
2–4
L
28 Aug
@ Roda
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
MVV – last 6
LWLLDW
3 Oct
@ FC OSS
1–4
L
26 Sep
vs Helmond Sport
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Waalwijk
1–6
L
11 Sep
vs Almere City FC
0–4
L
6 Sep
vs Roda
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Jong AZ
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NAC Breda and MVV.
Our pick is NAC Breda to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win NAC Breda vs MVV?
On our numbers NAC Breda have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and MVV 12%.
How many goals will there be in NAC Breda vs MVV?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NAC Breda vs MVV?
Our predicted score is NAC Breda 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is NAC Breda vs MVV?
NAC Breda vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
