Value bet: Jong AZ to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJong AZ to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Jong AZ vs Den Bosch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong AZ welcome Den Bosch to AFAS Trainingscomplex for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 9 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Jong AZ are 19th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Den Bosch are 3rd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong AZ, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over FC Volendam, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Den Bosch, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dordrecht, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Jong AZ, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Den Bosch.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Jong AZ 2–2 Den Bosch.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong AZ 2.4 xG, Den Bosch 1.5 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong AZ 56%, draw 20%, Den Bosch 24%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Jong AZ to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong AZ 2–1 Den Bosch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong AZ56%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.00
Den Bosch24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
3.89Expected goals
2.36Jong AZ xG
1.53Den Bosch xG
69%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 2.4 – 1.5 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Den Bosch 24%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 2–1 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs Den Bosch?
Jong AZ vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
