Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
VVV Venlo travel to face Jong Ajax on Friday 9 October in the Eerste Divisie, with Sportpark De Toekomst the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Jong Ajax are 18th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; VVV Venlo are 2nd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Ajax, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Roda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
VVV Venlo, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Roda, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours VVV Venlo, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Jong Ajax.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended VVV Venlo 0–1 Jong Ajax.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Ajax 1.8 xG, VVV Venlo 2.2 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 71% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Ajax 31%, draw 20%, VVV Venlo 49%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Ajax 1–2 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Ajax31%fair 3.18 · @2.75
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.80
VVV Venlo49%fair 2.05 · @2.15
4.00Expected goals
1.77Jong Ajax xG
2.23VVV Venlo xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.8 – 2.2 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and VVV Venlo 49%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–2 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.