Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: PAU to win @ 3.10 – our chance 41% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPAU to win ✓41% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.01
Dijon vs PAU: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PAU travel to face Dijon on Friday 14 August in the Ligue 2, with Stade Gaston Gerard the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dijon are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; PAU are 5th (upper half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dijon, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Montpellier, away. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
PAU, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Annecy, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Dijon, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for PAU.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dijon 0.9 xG, PAU 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dijon 36%, draw 23%, PAU 41%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: PAU to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dijon 0–1 PAU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dijon36%fair 2.76 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
PAU41%fair 2.44 · @3.10
1.98Expected goals
0.95Dijon xG
1.04PAU xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Dijon 0.9 – 1.0 PAU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAU to win✓
41%
2.44
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
PAU (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Dijon +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.07
First team to score
PAU to score first✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.01
–
Recent results
Dijon – last 6
DDWWWW
8 Aug
@ Montpellier
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Nancy
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
22 Jul
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Progres Niederkorn
4–1
W
15 Jul
vs UNFP
5–2
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PAU – last 6
LLLLWL
8 Aug
vs Annecy
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Real Unión
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Real Sociedad II
0–4
L
21 Jul
@ Espanyol
0–4
L
11 Jul
@ Real Sociedad
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Annecy
1–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dijon and PAU.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dijon vs PAU?
On our numbers Dijon have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PAU 41%.
How many goals will there be in Dijon vs PAU?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dijon vs PAU?
Our predicted score is Dijon 0–1 PAU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Dijon vs PAU?
Dijon vs PAU (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Gerard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
